Two Appeals Courts Just Said Kalshi Sports Bets Are Gambling. The CFTC, Run by One Man, Is Rewriting the Dictionary So They Aren't.

On September 28 the CFTC sent the White House two rules: one that writes event contracts into the legal definition of a 'swap,' and an interim final rule that carves out 'casino-style gambling products.' If a prediction market contract is a swap, it's federal turf and state gambling regulators lose. The Ninth and Sixth Circuits have already sided with the states, the Third Circuit with Kalshi, and three petitions are sitting at the Supreme Court. Chair Mike Selig is currently the agency's only commissioner.